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☆ How the Fed’s quest for transparency made markets more volatile
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-11 | by ( Merritt Enright | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Markets typically respond to Fed comments with price swings in either direction, and recent research shows they are particularly reactive to Powell. And given the Fed's "data-dependent" approach, the baseline can change rapidly as new economic reports are released. "So now we're stuck with a system where there's only one view, there's only one outlook, it's a baseline outlook. And there's really no way to understand the Fed's thinking about where are the risks." Watch the video above to learn more about how the Fed's busy speaking schedule can create market volatility and how it balances transparency with market impact.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, Andrew Levin, —, Levin, Ben Bernanke Organizations: Fed, Federal, Center for Economic Policy Research, Dartmouth College, Federal Reserve Locations: Federal, what's

☆ S&P 500 rebounds to less than 1% from a record after orderly three-week pullback
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-11 | by ( Michael Santoli | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

The five-month, 28% sprint from the October correction low to the record high on the last trading day of the first quarter left the S & P 500 overbought, overheated and over-loved. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500, YTD So far, so good, three weeks down and now three weeks up, taking the S & P 500 back to within 1% of its March 28 peak. More specifically, he tracks the correlation between S & P 500 and the Citi Economic Surprise Index. Fidelity Investments head of global macro Jurrien Timmer fashioned this look at the path of S & P 500 earnings heading into and through each calendar year, with 2024 holding up better than 2023 was last year at this time. The last time the S & P 500 was at today's level above 5200 in late March, the 12-month forward price/earnings multiple was 21.

Persons: that's, Jerome Powell, Scott Chronert, It's, Powell, Lori Calvasina, we've Organizations: U.S, Bank, Citi, Citi U.S, Fidelity Investments, Treasury, RBC Capital

☆ How the Fed's quest for transparency made markets more volatile
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-11 | by ( Merritt Enright | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHow the Fed's quest for transparency made markets more volatileMarkets often respond to Fed comments with big price swings, and recent research shows they are particularly reactive to Fed Chair Jerome Powell.

Persons: Jerome Powell

☆ Inflation data commands center stage next week and provides a test for the market rally
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-11 | by ( Zev Fima | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +10 min

All three major U.S. stock indexes closed higher for the week, led by the Dow Jones Industrial Average . The Nasdaq Composite added 1.14% while the S & P 500 advanced 1.85% in a relatively quiet week of economic updates. Within the portfolio, Disney and Wynn Resorts released quarterly numbers; we took issue with the stock reaction to both reports. It also raises the stakes around major economic releases, such as next week's consumer inflation report. In the week ahead, earnings season continues — headlined by Walmart on Thursday — and inflation data will dominate the economic calendar.

Persons: We've, Jim Cramer, Dow Jones, we'll, We'll, Stanley Black, Decker, Jack, JACK, Arcutis, Spero, JD.com, Armour, Jim Cramer's, Jim, Carlo Allegri Organizations: Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Disney, Wynn Resorts, Procter, Procter & Gamble, Walmart, CPI, PPI, Club, Home Depot, Biotech Corporation, Music Entertainment, Central Puerto S.A, TeraWulf Inc, Paysafe Group Holdings, QuickLogic Corporation, Kopin Corp, Royalty Corp, Agilysys Inc, Crop Solutions Corp, Inovio Biomedical, Intercorp Financial, Lithium, Argentina ) Corp, Sea, Sony Group Corporation, SONY, Holding, HudBay Minerals, Autolus Therapeutics, Game Technology, Nu Holdings, Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp, Bakkt Holdings, Prestige Consumer Healthcare, SilverCrest Metals, Inc, Mining Corp, Acurx Pharmaceuticals, Cresco Labs, Dole plc, DOLE, Arcos Dorados Holdings, ARCO, Cisco Systems, Grab Holdings, Copa Holdings S.A, Technologies, Iris Energy, KORE Group, Super, Spero Therapeutics, ZTO, Baidu, Deere & Company, NICE, Lightspeed Commerce, Ship Lease, Canada Goose Holdings, Drainage Systems, Consolidated Water Co, Outlook Therapeutics, Despegar.com, Corp, DXC Technology Company, Flowers Foods, Bruker Corporation, WYNN, CNBC, Foods Locations: Procter &, Central, Cayman, Lithium Americas, Argentina, Manhattan, New York City

☆ Healthcare costs will keep PCE elevated out of Fed's target range, says economist Joe Lavorgna
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-10 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHealthcare costs will keep PCE elevated out of Fed's target range, says economist Joe LavorgnaJoe Lavorgna, SMBC Nikko Securities America chief economist, joins 'Fast Money' to talk the overheated U.S. economy, the Fed's inflation fight, and more.

Persons: Joe Lavorgna Joe Lavorgna Organizations: Healthcare, PCE, Nikko Securities America

☆ Sam Bankman-Fried has a new currency to trade in prison: rice
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-10 | by ( Sarah Gray | Erin Snodgrass | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

FTX founder Sam Bankman-Fried, who was convicted on seven counts, gave an interview from prison to Puck. SBF told Puck he spends his days in a large dormitory room with 35 other men. He said he lives off beans and rice purchased from the commissary, and his rice is now prison currency. AdvertisementSam Bankman-Fried has a new currency to trade in prison at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn. He told Puck that he has not been abused and does not "fear for his safety."

Persons: Sam Bankman, SBF, Puck, —, Fried, William D, Cohan, Cromwell, Damian Williams, Crypto, FTX Organizations: Service, Metropolitan Detention, Alameda Research, Puck News, Bureau of Prisons, Business, Sullivan Locations: Puck, Brooklyn, Alameda

☆ Wall Street expects rate hikes are off the table for now. Next week’s inflation data will test that thesis
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-10 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

Stocks have been churning higher lately after Fed Chair Jerome Powell indicated rate hikes are likely off the table , a position that investors expect is a bullish event for equities. A strong earnings season, as well as some cooler labor data , also have investors more optimistic in this year's outlook. On Friday, all three major averages are on pace for a winning week, with the 30-stock index up by more than 2%. The market reaction Inflation data has been crucially important this year for investors. Export Price Index (April) 8:30 a.m. Housing Starts (April) 8:30 a.m.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Mike Dickson, Stocks, Dickson, Jeff Buchbinder, Buchbinder, Strategas, Jason De Sena Trennert, Ken Mahoney, Mahoney, Charles Schwab, Price Organizations: Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, Treasury, Horizon Investments, Nasdaq, UBS, Investments, ICE, Fed, LPL, Asset Management, Walmart, Deere, Retail, Cisco, Price, Housing, Philadelphia Fed, Manufacturing, Materials Locations: NAHB

☆ Interest rates today are not 'ridiculously high', says THL Partners' Scott Sperling
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-10 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailInterest rates today are not 'ridiculously high', says THL Partners' Scott SperlingScott Sperling, THL Partners co-CEO, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the state of the economy, impact of high interest rates, inflation outlook, the Fed's interest rate path, and more.

Persons: THL, Scott Sperling Scott Sperling Organizations: THL Partners

☆ The Fed on rate cut timeline, restrictive monetary policy and inflation target
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-10 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe Fed on rate cut timeline, restrictive monetary policy and inflation targetMinneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari and Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee join 'Power Lunch' to discuss the Fed's next move for rate cuts.

Persons: Neel Kashkari, Austan Goolsbee Organizations: Chicago Fed

☆ Consumer sentiment tumbles as inflation fears surge, closely watched survey shows
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-10 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Consumer sentiment slumped as inflation expectations rose, despite otherwise strong signals in the economy, according to a closely watched survey released Friday. The University of Michigan Survey of Consumers sentiment index for May posted an initial reading of 67.4 for the month, down from 77.2 in April and well off the Dow Jones consensus call for 76. Along with the downbeat sentiment measure, the outlook for inflation across the one- and five-year horizons increased. The inflation readings represent the biggest pitfall for policymakers as the Federal Reserve contemplates the near-term path of monetary policy. The next important data point for inflation comes Wednesday when the Labor Department releases its consumer price index report for April.

Persons: Dow Jones, Joanne Hsu, Paul Ashworth, Jeffrey Roach, it's, Jerome Powell Organizations: The University of Michigan Survey, Dow, North, Capital Economics, Federal Reserve, LPL, Fed, Labor Department Locations: North America, Michigan

☆ Dollar nurses losses after another set of soft jobs data
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-10 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Against the Japanese yen, the dollar was trading at 155.39 yen , down from highs of 155.95 hit in the previous session. The dollar index , which measures the greenback against a basket of currencies including the yen and the euro, was flat at 105.25. "We note jobless claims are weekly data that can be very volatile from week to week," Commonwealth Bank of Australia's Joseph Capurso, said in a note. "The BoE's urgency and willingness to cut ahead of the Fed will continue to weigh on the currency," Goh said. Being added to the list makes it harder for U.S. suppliers to ship to the targeted entities.

Persons: Commonwealth Bank of Australia's Joseph Capurso, Shunichi Suzuki, Rong Ren Goh, Sterling, BoE, Goh Organizations: U.S, Federal Reserve, dovish Bank of England, Commonwealth Bank of Australia's, Tokyo, Japan's Finance, Eastspring Investments, Bank of England, Monetary, Committee, Fed, Treasury, Traders, PPI, Federal Locations: U.S, United States

☆ 10-year Treasury yield rises as investors consider remarks from Fed officials
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-09 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

U.S. Treasury yields were higher on Thursday as investors considered remarks from Federal Reserve officials, scanning them for hints about the interest rate outlook. Collins' comments echoed those made by Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari and Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin earlier in the week. More Fed officials are set to speak on Thursday and Friday. Elsewhere, the Bank of England is due to announce its latest interest rate decision on Thursday. The BoE is widely expected to leave interest rates unchanged, but investors will be scanning Governor Andrew Bailey's statement for hints about a potential summer rate cut.

Persons: Susan Collins, Collins, Neel Kashkari, Tom Barkin, BoE, Andrew Bailey's Organizations: Treasury, Federal Reserve, Boston, Wednesday, Minneapolis, Richmond Fed, Fed, Bank of England

☆ The 'cash is trash' mantra just makes me laugh, JPMorgan's Bill Eigen
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-09 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe 'cash is trash' mantra just makes me laugh, JPMorgan's Bill EigenBill Eigen, JPMorgan Asset Management head of the absolute return and opportunistic fixed income team, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the state of the economy, why interest rate hike may actually be boosting the economy, the Fed's interest rate outlook, and more.

Persons: Bill Eigen Bill Eigen Organizations: JPMorgan Asset Management

☆ The root problem facing streamers is the lack of daily usage, says LightShed's Rich Greenfield
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-09 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe root problem facing streamers is the lack of daily usage, says LightShed's Rich GreenfieldRich Greenfield, LightShed Partners co-founder, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss Warner Bros. Discovery's quarterly earnings results, whether the company can retain its NBA rights, the new streaming bundle with Disney+ and Hulu, state of the streaming landscape, and more.

Persons: LightShed's Rich Greenfield Rich Greenfield Organizations: LightShed Partners, Warner Bros, NBA, Disney Locations: Hulu

☆ North Island chairman Glenn Hutchins on state of the economy, Fed's rate path and sports streaming
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-09 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailNorth Island chairman Glenn Hutchins on state of the economy, Fed's rate path and sports streamingGlenn Hutchins, North Island co-founder and chairman, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the state of the economy, impact of elevated interest rates, the Fed's inflation fight, interest rate outlook, latest market trends, state of sports streaming wars, and more.

Persons: Glenn Hutchins Organizations: North

☆ Roger Ferguson on new CEO survey: Recession concerns have 'faded drastically'
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-09 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailRoger Ferguson on new CEO survey: Recession concerns have 'faded drastically'Roger Ferguson, The Business Council vice chairman, The Conference Board trustee and former Federal Reserve vice chairman, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the results of the 'Conference Board Measure of CEO Confidence' survey, the increase in cautious optimism among CEOs, top concerns facing executives, the Fed's inflation fight, and more.

Persons: Roger Ferguson Organizations: The Business, Federal Reserve

It turns out that a long pause between Federal Reserve rate actions is historically good for stocks, according to LPL Financial. The pause, which has reached 280 days, is the second-longest in modern market history, LPL noted, behind only the 2006-07 pause that reached 446 days. "Long pauses are typically good for stocks, and the gains achieved since the Fed's last hike in July 2023 are consistent with recent history," said Jeff Buchbinder, chief equity strategist at LPL Financial. "The pace and rise of the S & P 500 during that time are in line with what we are seeing now." Still, the strategist observed that the sectors that have historically outperformed during long pauses are financials and energy, which generally return 15% for the period.

Persons: LPL, Jeff Buchbinder, Buchbinder Organizations: Financial, Investors, LPL

☆ Dollar holds its ground as key inflation data looms
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-09 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

U.S. one hundred dollar bills are being shown in this picture illustration taken in Buenos Aires, Argentina, on Dec. 15, 2023. Against the Japanese yen, the dollar slowly inched up after it fell more than 3% last week, its biggest weekly percentage drop since early December 2022. Japan's top currency diplomat Masato Kanda on Thursday reiterated a warning that Tokyo is ready to take action in the currency market. The dollar index rose to 0.05% to 105.55, while the Japanese yen was mostly flat at 155.59 per greenback. The BOE is likely to take another step towards its first interest rate cut in four years as inflation falls.

Persons: Masafumi Yamamoto, Masato Kanda, Susan Collins, Sterling, BOE, bitcoin Organizations: Federal Reserve, Bank of, Mizuho Securities, Traders, PPI, Fed Bank of Boston, European Central Bank Locations: Buenos Aires, Argentina, Japan, U.S, United States, Tokyo, —

☆ Just 4% of current retirees say they are 'living the dream,' survey finds. Here's why
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-09 | by ( Lorie Konish | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Brauns | E+ | Getty ImagesJust 4% of today's retirees said they are "living the dream," according to a new survey from asset management company Schroders. Image Source | Getty ImagesThe Schroders survey results come as more experts are pointing to a potential retirement crisis. "The retirement savings crisis in the United States is no longer looming: it is here, now," said a new report from the National Institute on Retirement Security. Not everyone agrees there is an emergencySome experts are skeptical there is a retirement savings crisis at all. Of seniors with more than $10,000 in retirement savings, 93% said they were doing okay or living comfortably.

Persons: —, Deb Boyden, That's, Warren Buffett's, Boyden, Andrew Biggs, George W, Bush, EBRI, Biggs Organizations: Getty, National Institute on Retirement Security, Finance, American Enterprise Institute, Social Security, Northwestern Mutual, Research Locations: —, United States

"The Fed is the central bank most able to chart its own course," Citi economist Andrew Hollenhorst said in a client note Wednesday. It was the first time the Riksbank had cut since 2016 and takes its main policy rate down to 3.75%. The Riksbank's move was the second central bank cut of the year, as the Swiss National Bank reduced its key rate a quarter point in March in what was seen as a surprise action. Reductions from the Bank of England and European Central Bank are expected to come next, possibly within a month. "With the exception of Japan, developed markets are embarking on a program of rate cuts," Hollenhorst said.

Persons: Andrew Hollenhorst, BOE, Mark, Bailey, Citi's Hollenhorst, Christine Lagarde, CNBC's Sara Eisen, Lagarde, Hollenhorst Organizations: U.S . Federal, Citigroup, Citi, Sweden's, Swiss National Bank, Bank of England, European Central Bank, Bank of America Locations: U.S, Japan

☆ These global tech stocks have beaten the S&P 500 this year — and analysts give them over 20% upside
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-08 | by ( Weizhen Tan | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

U.S. stocks have been rather volatile in the past month, but in the past week they had a strong run on hopes of rate cuts. Tech stocks, which would be boosted by rate cuts, have been a big part of that rally — with Meta , Alphabet and Amazon in particular having a strong showing over the past couple of weeks. Elsewhere, analysts are getting more optimistic on China stocks, especially those in the tech sector. Kevin Liu, managing director and strategist at CICC Research, said his conviction call would be a structural barbell allocation with themes including tech names "with high-end upgrading opportunities," among others. Stock screen Against this backdrop, CNBC Pro screened FactSet for stocks from four exchange-traded funds (KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF, Vanguard Information Technology ETF, Invesco China Technology ETF and the iShares MSCI China Multisector Tech ETF) to find stocks that: have beaten the S & P 500's around 9% year-to-date performance.

Persons: Bernstein, Kevin Liu Organizations: Dow Jones, Tech, UBS, CICC Research, CNBC Pro, CSI China Internet, Vanguard Information Technology, China Technology ETF, China Multisector Tech Locations: China

☆ Morgan Stanley's Sherry Paul: Embrace volatility in the market to capture higher returns
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-08 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMorgan Stanley's Sherry Paul: Embrace volatility in the market to capture higher returnsSherry Paul, Morgan Stanley managing director, joins CNBC's 'Money Movers' to discuss her top sectors, market volatility, outlook on the Fed's next moves, and more.

Persons: Morgan Stanley's Sherry Paul, Sherry Paul, Morgan Stanley

☆ FTX says most customers of the bankrupt crypto exchange will get all their money back
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-08 | by ( Arjun Kharpal | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Sam Bankman-Fried, co-founder of FTX Cryptocurrency Derivatives Exchange, arrives at court in New York, US, on Thursday, Feb. 16, 2023. Almost all customers of collapsed cryptocurrency exchange FTX will get their money back — and more, according to a court filing. FTX's high-profile founder Sam Bankman-Fried was convicted of seven criminal counts in early November, including charges related to stealing billions of dollars from FTX's customers. FTX had to find other ways to raise money because it has large sum of cryptocurrency missing from the exchange. Instead, the Debtors have had to look to other sources of recoverable value to repay creditors," FTX said in a press release on Wednesday.

Persons: Sam Bankman, FTX, Fried, Bitcoin, John Ray III, Ray, — CNBC's MacKenzie Sigalos Organizations: Amazon, FTX Locations: New York, Alameda, Bankman, Anthropic

☆ 3 ways Indeed is leveraging AI to help bridge the gap between hiring managers and job seekers
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-08 | by ( Sponsor Post | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

Here are three ways Smart Sourcing can help you hire smarter and faster. "As you accept or reject candidates, the Smart Sourcing AI will learn what you prefer over time," Kudrikow said. Matches are based on three things: The keyword relevancy of your job post, job seekers' resumes, job seekers' search activity on Indeed, and how recently job seekers have been on the site. With a Professional Subscription, hiring managers gain the ability to automate post-outreach and follow-up with custom reminder messages. Getting started with Smart SourcingSmart Sourcing subscriptions are available starting today, and existing Indeed Resume subscriptions have transitioned to Smart Sourcing.

Persons: Allison McLellan, Harris Poll1, Jason Kudrikow, Harris, Smart Sourcing's, Kudrikow, you've, Kudikrow Organizations: Smart, Universal Health Services, UHS, Employers, Insider Studios, . Survey Locations: Puerto Rico, United States

☆ Uh, this music-streaming app called Musi sure feels like it's in a gray area
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-08 | by ( Katie Notopoulos | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

Musi is a music-streaming app that has millions of users, especially among teens. It works by streaming music from YouTube, and unlike Spotify, it doesn't make deals with record labels. Wired reports that Musi is a free music streaming app out of Canada that's especially popular with teenagers. And unlike Apple Music or Spotify, which make their own deals with record labels and pay artists for streams, Musi works quite differently. It essentially streams music from YouTube — and Musi runs its own ads against those streams.

Persons: —, Anne Hathaway — Organizations: YouTube, Spotify, Service, Wired, Apple Music, Business Locations: Canada

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